NOVA
SIMULATED READINGSHOLD · GO-LIVE UNDER 24H

Everyone knows the date is wrong. Nobody says so in standup.

Nova opens a prediction market against the gitlawb object itself. Your team stakes reputation credits on whether the milestone actually ships, and the price becomes a forecast that moves days before the date does.

NATIVE RESOLUTION · the gitlawb event closes the market

northbeam/nova %4.2: ships by 01 oct. Forecast 34 percent, falling, from 61 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the milestone due date passes.025507510034%
%4.2northbeam/nova

SHIPS BY 01 OCT

CLOSES ON MILESTONE DUE DATE PASSES

27 IN 24HMOVED 4 MIN
T-MINUS TO LAUNCHThe chronometer is at the foot of the panel.

The milestone board says on track. The panel says otherwise.

Six markets, six gitlawb objects. Every needle is somebody’s reputation against the plan of record, and every one of them is wired to the event that will settle it.

northbeam/nova !3391: merges this week. Forecast 71 percent, rising, from 52 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the merge request merges.025507510071%
!3391northbeam/nova

MERGES THIS WEEK

CLOSES ON MERGE REQUEST MERGES

19 IN 24HMOVED 11 MIN
northbeam/nova #2187: closed before freeze. Forecast 12 percent, falling, from 29 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the issue closes.025507510012%
#2187northbeam/nova

CLOSED BEFORE FREEZE

CLOSES ON ISSUE CLOSES

17 IN 24HMOVED 37 MIN
northbeam/nova pipeline:main: green through cut. Forecast 58 percent, steady, from 57 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the pipeline reports status.025507510058%
pipeline:mainnorthbeam/nova

GREEN THROUGH CUT

CLOSES ON PIPELINE REPORTS STATUS

1 IN 24HMOVED 2 HR
northbeam/platform %Q4-MIGRATION: no rollback. Forecast 44 percent, rising, from 31 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the milestone closes.025507510044%
%Q4-MIGRATIONnorthbeam/platform

NO ROLLBACK

CLOSES ON MILESTONE CLOSES

13 IN 24HMOVED 26 MIN
northbeam/nova !3402: reviewed in 48h. Forecast 88 percent, rising, from 74 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the approval recorded.025507510088%
!3402northbeam/nova

REVIEWED IN 48H

CLOSES ON APPROVAL RECORDED

14 IN 24HMOVED 8 MIN
northbeam/nova %4.3: scope holds. Forecast 23 percent, falling, from 40 percent twenty-four hours ago. Resolves when the milestone issue count.025507510023%
%4.3northbeam/nova

SCOPE HOLDS

CLOSES ON MILESTONE ISSUE COUNT

17 IN 24HMOVED 1 HR

The repo is the oracle.

Every other prediction market has to answer “who decides?” Nova’s markets are bound to objects that decide for themselves.

  1. BIND01

    A market opens against one gitlawb object: a milestone, a merge request, an issue, a pipeline. The object is the question. Nothing is restated in prose.

  2. PRICE02

    Everyone on the team stakes reputation credits on the outcome. The price that settles out is the team's live forecast, and it moves the moment somebody who knows better disagrees.

  3. RESOLVE03

    The gitlawb event closes the market. The due date passes, the merge request merges, the pipeline reports. No oracle, no committee, no dispute window. The repo already decided.

PANEL STATUS

  • REPUTATION ONLY

    Credits, not currency. No wallet, no token, no payout. Being right buys you standing and nothing else.

  • NATIVE RESOLUTION

    The gitlawb event settles every market. Nothing waits on a human to adjudicate it.

  • CALIBRATION KEPT

    Every forecast you make is scored and stays on your record. Confidence becomes a number.

  • SELF-HOSTED

    Not yet determined. We are not claiming self-managed support before we have shipped it.

  • PRICING

    Not yet determined. No plan, no tier, and no free-forever promise until there is one.

  • INSTANCE RANGE

    Not yet determined. Which gitlawb versions Nova binds to is decided at launch, not here.

T-MINUS TO LAUNCH

HOLD

Countdown starting.

When this reads zero, the launchpad opens and the first markets bind to live gitlawb objects.